Midsouth Shot Report

Vetting Your Preparedness Group

Vetting Your Preparedness Group: A look at real preparedness groups, their common failure modes, and how to start asking the right questions before joining one or letting someone into yours. – by Kit Perez

It’s a familiar scenario, and if you’ve spent any time in the preparedness space, you have probably been through a variation of it.

You start talking to your neighbors after a bad storm, or a week of headlines that made you feel like things were closer to the edge than usual. One neighbor mentions they’ve been thinking about water storage. Another brings up their amateur radio license that’s been gathering dust. You exchange numbers, excited to think that you’re going to be part of something that has the potential to help all of you weather a crisis. You form a group chat, and the ideas start flowing.

For a few weeks it hums along. Frank shares some links for bulk food purchases that the group can go in on, John posts a map of the local water table, some Facebook Marketplace listings for large tanks, and wants to help people start collecting rainwater. His wife Lina chimes in with an idea for a get-together to do a neighborhood audit: who has what, what skills the members have, what kind of supplies and skills everyone actually needs. Jack and his son Matt are avid hunters, and there is talk of them helping to get everyone’s freezers filled for winter.

It’s starting to feel cohesive; all of you are posting in the chat daily, discussing ideas and plans. There is even talk of reserving a conference room at the library so that you can invite people from the community and see who else might want to get into the group. More people means more supplies, more skills to share, and an even better prepared group overall.

After a few weeks, however, you notice something. The neighbor with the radio license stops responding, and when you call him, he says he joined another group. John and Lina drop out of the chat with no explanation. After the initial meeting, there has never been another one; it’s been proposed, but no one ever confirmed a date, and the few that got proposed didn’t work for the many schedules involved.

You hear that Frank ended up making his own bulk purchases; he says that no one got back to him, so he just did it himself. Jack and Matt found out quickly that some of the group members had a real problem with hunting, and so they bowed out.

The group chat goes from daily messages to weekly to nothing. Six months later, it’s just you and two other people, one of whom is your spouse. The other guy just sends links and memes, all of which are political in nature.

Everyone was motivated, and you all shared a common interest and goal, so what happened?

What you experienced was the default outcome when a preparedness group forms around shared anxiety instead of shared structure. Everyone was interested in the idea of “being prepared,” but no one had agreed on what that looks like, what it would require, and who would take on the various parts of achieving it. Nobody had even talked about what the group actually was, who was in it, what it expected of its members, or what would happen if someone stopped showing up.

The group had no architecture, and without that, it collapsed under the weight of ordinary human behavior: competing schedules, shifting priorities, social awkwardness about accountability, and even lack of discipline or commitment. None of that is remarkable or abnormal, and all of it is predictable.

Now let’s look at a different yet similarly predictable scenario.

After the neighborhood group fiasco, you’re no longer interested in building a group. Instead, you start looking online for a group to join.

You find one in your area, and at first, it seems to be exactly what you have been trying to build with your neighbors. They have meetings, a communication platform, and a clear focus on local resilience. You also note that in order to get in, you need to share a lot of information so you can be “vetted.” You do it without question because you want to get in; these folks seem serious about preparedness and that’s comforting.

You invest weekends in training exercises and share information about your household, skills, and the resources that you possess. The camaraderie is great, and you start to truly trust the people in the group.

Little by little, however, you notice things that don’t sit right. Decisions get made by one or two people, with no real explanation and no real discussion among the group. You try to voice some concerns, but leadership shuts you down, and one of your friends in the group pulls you aside later to gently point out that raising concerns isn’t how you will get anywhere in the group. There’s a lot of talk about loyalty, and that talk gets louder whenever someone asks a hard question.

You also realize the information flow is asymmetrical. Leadership knows a great deal about the members, but you know almost nothing about leadership. You’ve shared your address, what you have in terms of resources, and what skills you bring to the table. You’ve shared time, helping to train others, but haven’t received any training in return. You’ve even kicked in money to help get new members started with some basic supplies. When you think about it, all you’ve gotten out of your membership is access to meetings and the social validation of belonging.

You make the hard choice to exit the group, but it’s way more complicated than you expected. Your wife and kids made friends in the group, and now they’re finding themselves iced out. There are rumors that you and your family weren’t committed and “don’t have what it takes.” You’ve lost months of time, a fair amount of money, and now you have a real concern about how much information you shared about yourself, your family, and the cache of gear and supplies you’ve been building for years.

What you were part of is a closed power system, but you don’t know that. All you know is that once again, your efforts to find community failed.

The Failure Mode

Both scenarios have a common structural failure, and it’s not leadership quality, group culture, or even compatibility of values. Those are downstream effects from the real problem: nobody was vetted.

In the first scenario, nobody vetted the group’s members for commitment, capacity, or alignment — so when social friction hit, there was nothing to hold people in. In the second scenario, you didn’t vet the group before joining, so you had no way to identify its structural dynamics before you were already inside them, already exposed, and already invested.

Vetting is the process by which a group establishes, in advance, what it is, who belongs in it, and what membership requires. Without that process, groups either dissolve or calcify into something unhealthy. The open, friendly group fizzles out eventually, and the closed, motivated group becomes an emotional trap.

Let’s look at how to do things in a structured way.

Vetting as a Structure

The concept of vetting a group often deals with an assessment of character or skills. Conventional wisdom looks to answer two questions:

  • Is this person or group trustworthy?
  • Do they bring real skills to the table?

Those are nice questions, but they ignore the structural diagnostics. Here are some of the questions you should be asking instead. By answering these, you’ll answer the previous ones.

What does the group do with conflict?

Every group will tell you it values honesty, accountability, and open communication. The actual test is what happens when someone raises a concern or disagrees with a decision. Does the group have a visible, functional process for handling that? Or does social pressure absorb it? A group with no conflict resolution architecture will either suppress dissent or break when a real disagreement happens. You don’t have to create the conflict; you can simply watch a few cycles of it. If they claim that they are “drama-free,” that tells you a great deal. Humans have drama; claiming you don’t just means that you’re not dealing with it well.

What kind of information symmetry exists?

What you’re looking for here is what you’re getting about the members before you give to them. Before you share your resources, skills, family member information, or any other personal information, you should know things about the group and its members/leadership. Can you verify it? In a healthy group, information flows in both directions, not just from you upward. This protects you from feeling exposed if you do have to exit later.

What would it look like to exit?

This might sound counterintuitive, but ask up front what an exit looks like. You can frame it in a non-threatening way: If someone’s circumstances change and they need to step back, how does that work? Their answer is critical. A closed system, for instance, will react to the question. They might deflect, pressure you immediately to offer your loyalty, or immediately make a “joke” about not being committed. A group I was vetting several years ago answered my question by saying, “Well, if we think you’re not committed, we won’t kick you out. We will just freeze you so bad you’ll leave on your own.” That was pretty important data.

What does the group track or focus on, and what does it ignore?

When you see a group tracking things like their own commitments, or their actual progress toward a real, measurable objective, that’s something healthy. Bonus points if they are also tracking the consequences of not meeting the objective. If you find that the group has no real accountability structure, or if they tend to focus on the emotional facets like belonging or ‘we are a family’-style environment, you know that the social cohesion IS the goal, regardless of what story they’re telling themselves. It also means that the group will dissolve or fracture under real pressure. There are also groups that seem to be on top of the accountability for members but not for leaders. That’s another form of closed control system, and it’s not what you want.

Who absorbs the cost when something goes wrong?

In every group, things eventually go wrong. Maybe someone forgot to bring the correct gear to training, or they didn’t follow through on a commitment to the group. Who pays the price for it? If the cost is consistently borne by members instead of leaders, or on the people who called it out instead of the people who did it, you have an accountability inversion.

Do they have actual doctrine or just a lot of rules?

Groups should be able to answer “why” questions. Why do they do the things they do, in the way that they do them? What’s more, they should be able to hear the questions without getting defensive. You’re not attacking them but seeking information; if they’re a healthy group, they’ll recognize that for what it is and welcome the opportunity to help you get on board with their system.

There are plenty more questions like this, but these will get you started. The point of all this is not to make you paranoid, or to convince you that every group is a trap. People who form or join preparedness groups are usually doing so in good faith, with real intentions. The problem is that good faith does not produce good structure, and good intentions do not survive bad architecture.

What vetting gives you is not a guarantee. It gives you information before you’re exposed, before you’ve invested time and resources, and before your family is socially entangled in something you can’t cleanly exit. That information lets you make a real decision about your involvement with a person or group, rather than a hopeful one.

The questions in this article are a pattern of thinking you apply continuously, because groups change, and so do their members. The group that had healthy conflict resolution in year one may have quietly centralized by year two. Staying oriented to those dynamics is part of membership in any group worth belonging to.

If an individual or group can’t withstand your questions, they can’t withstand a crisis. THAT is the point.

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